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Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Miku
Assist: Ayine G.
14'
Ferro A.
15' Event
Castellanos J.

AI Match Summary

Metropolitanos in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metropolitanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Deportivo La Guaira
15%
Draws
67%
Metropolitanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metropolitanos lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitanos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 14%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Metropolitanos
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
4:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Metropolitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Miku
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
Metropolitanos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Metropolitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Metropolitanos let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Metropolitanos
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 7

Metropolitanos

(Away)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
12 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 2
Metropolitanos
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 12 10 1 1 28:9 31
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
12 Rayo Zuliano 12 3 2 7 17:27 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)