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Deportivo La Guaira vs Yaracuyanos

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2025 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lamadrid K.
Assist: Faya C.
43'
Labranche M.
46'
Sub
Viez V. In: Alvarez L.
Out: Viez V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2025 game between Deportivo La Guaira and Yaracuyanos finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo La Guaira
39%
Draws
30%
Yaracuyanos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yaracuyanos come out ahead of Deportivo La Guaira on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 16%
Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Yaracuyanos
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 10 11
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Yaracuyanos
4:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Sep 26, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Yaracuyanos
1:0
Aug 9, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
3:2
Jun 16, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Yaracuyanos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamadrid K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uribe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yaracuyanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 31 / 100
Yaracuyanos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Yaracuyanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Yaracuyanos conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo La Guaira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Yaracuyanos
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 7

Yaracuyanos

(Away)
25 Jul
Yaracuyanos
0 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
24 Jun
Barquisimeto
0 : 4
Yaracuyanos
06 Jun
Yaracuyanos
1 : 2
Atletico Barinas
31 May
Urena
1 : 1
Yaracuyanos
24 May
Yaracuyanos
1 : 0
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira13101229:831
2Dep. Tachira1383223:1227
3Carabobo1374214:825
4Monagas1364319:1522
5Caracas1363417:1721
6Zamora1361611:1519
7Academia Puerto Cabello1346312:1018
8Metropolitanos1352621:1917
9Universidad Central1352619:1817
10Estudiantes Merida1351711:1616
11Rayo Zuliano1341810:1913
12Academia Anzoategui1332810:1811
13Yaracuyanos1331911:2110
14Portuguesa1331910:217
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2025 (Clausura - Quadrangular)