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Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Uribe A.
Assist: Sulbaran M.
17' Event
Gonzalez M.
Assist: Uribe A.
35' Event
Castellanos J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo La Guaira
20%
Draws
40%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira have won more games recently than Zamora.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 68%
Zamora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Zamora
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
6:1
Feb 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Nov 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:0
Oct 21, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Uribe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 41 / 100
Zamora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo La Guaira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Zamora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Zamora registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Zamora
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 7

Zamora

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)