Sport Picks
Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Argentina
Primera Nacional 2025 Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn 
Match Events
24'
24'
Martinez D.
25'
25'
Ojeda S.
39'
39'
Sub
Gonzalez L. In: Fontana A.
Out: Gonzalez L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Deportivo Madryn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Madryn come out ahead of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Madryn's way, sitting at 70%.
- Deportivo Madryn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Deportivo Madryn, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.20 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn
1:0
Aug 2, 2022 Primera Nacional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Madryn
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Top Goalscorer Silba L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Madryn 77 / 100
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Madryn Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Deportivo Madryn's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Madryn VS Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1.38 Goals Scored 0.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Madryn
(Home) 11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
07 Jun
San Telmo
0 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2 San Miguel
31 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Acassuso
17 May
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
(Away) 05 May
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Instituto
24 Apr
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1 : 2 Rosario Central
18 Apr
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
12 Apr
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1 : 2 Barracas Central
07 Apr
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 1 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
04 Apr
Aldosivi
0 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
16 Mar
Racing Club
2 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
03 Mar
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
22 Feb
San Lorenzo
2 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Deportivo Madryn-
TBD-
Gimnasia Jujuy0
San Miguel0
Atletico Atlanta3
Chaco For Ever0
Deportivo Moron0
San Martin T.0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto2
Patronato1
Gimnasia y Tiro2
Temperley0
CA Estudiantes1
Deportivo Maipu0
Tristan Suarez2
Agropecuario1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Madryn4
Gimnasia Jujuy0
Atletico Atlanta0
Deportivo Moron1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto2
Gimnasia y Tiro0
CA Estudiantes1
Tristan Suarez0
Semi-finals
Deportivo Madryn1
Deportivo Moron1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1
CA Estudiantes1
Final
Deportivo Madryn1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto3