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Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Dening E.
40'
Sub
Orellana J. In: Torrent F.
Out: Orellana J.
58'
Sub
Servetto N. In: Barrientos N.
Out: Servetto N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Madryn and Ferro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportivo Madryn
28%
Draws
50%
Ferro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferro come out ahead of Deportivo Madryn on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ferro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 19%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Madryn Ferro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Deportivo Madryn
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Ferro
1:0
Mar 17, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Deportivo Madryn
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dening E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Madryn 24 / 100
Ferro 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Madryn Ferro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Madryn found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Deportivo Madryn has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferro conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Madryn VS Ferro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419