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Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn
Deportivo Madryn Logo

Deportivo Madryn

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Madryn host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Deportivo Madryn at 1.45 goals for, 0.9 against; San Telmo at 0.71 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Deportivo Madryn have won 1 to San Telmo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.75, favoring Deportivo Madryn. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Deportivo Madryn
20%
Draws
42%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Madryn lately — more wins on the board than San Telmo.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Madryn taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Madryn San Telmo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
2:1
May 6, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
2:1
Feb 5, 2021 Primera B
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Madryn 50 / 100
San Telmo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Madryn San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Madryn scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Madryn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: San Telmo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Madryn VS San Telmo
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Madryn

(Home)
17 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Oct
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Chaco For Ever
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 33 8 13 12 25:32 37
14 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
15 San Telmo 33 9 10 14 28:37 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)