Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gobetto J.
40'
Palacio P.
46'
Sub
Busto L. In: Macies T.
Out: Busto L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Almagro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Deportivo Maipu
39%
Draws
31%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Maipu come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Maipu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Almagro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro
3:1
Sep 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobetto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Almagro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 41 / 100
Almagro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Almagro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Almagro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Deportivo Maipu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Almagro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
6Almirante Brown2187615:1331
7Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13CA Mitre2149820:2721
14All Boys2049713:2021
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419