Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Facello F.
32' Event
Sanabria M.
Penalty Missed
49' Event
Eggel M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Chacarita Juniors finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportivo Maipu
22%
Draws
18%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Maipu taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chacarita Juniors have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
3:2
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
2:1
Feb 26, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Saccone F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Melendez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brun L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 68 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Chacarita Juniors conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo Maipu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Chacarita Juniors
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
17 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
San Martin T.
11 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 3
Deportivo Maipu
05 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
2 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2088419:832
6Almirante Brown2187615:1331
7CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)