Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu

Deportivo Maipu

3 - 1

Colegiales

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Gobetto J.

Assist: Saccone F.

46'

Sub

Baglivo G. L. In: Castillo L.

Out: Baglivo G. L.

46'

Sub

Trinidad E. In: Toloza N.

Out: Trinidad E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Colegiales finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Deportivo Maipu

39%

Draws

31%

Colegiales

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Deportivo Maipu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%

Colegiales Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Maipu	Colegiales
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	7	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs Colegiales

3:1

Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs Colegiales

1:2

May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Eggel M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gobetto J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 41 / 100

Colegiales 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Maipu Colegiales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo Maipu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Colegiales lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Colegiales

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)

17 Jul

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

San Martin T.

11 Jul

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 3

Deportivo Maipu

05 Jul

Deportivo Maipu

2 : 0

Agropecuario

21 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

14 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 1

Tristan Suarez

Page 1 of 6

Colegiales

(Away)

14 Jul

Atletico Atlanta

1 : 0

Colegiales

04 Jul

Colegiales

1 : 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

20 Jun

Colegiales

3 : 1

Quilmes

13 Jun

Colegiales

2 : 0

San Martin T.

06 Jun

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 0

Colegiales

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)