Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Rocca J.
46'
Sub
Giacone J. In: Silva T.
Out: Giacone J.
46'
Sub
Rocca J. In: Capano J.
Out: Rocca J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Gimnasia y Tiro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Deportivo Maipu
39%
Draws
31%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:0
Apr 10, 2014 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Deportivo Maipu
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 41 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Maipu scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Gimnasia y Tiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Deportivo Maipu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Gimnasia y Tiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
26 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
17 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
San Martin T.
11 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 3
Deportivo Maipu
05 Jul
Deportivo Maipu
2 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
26 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1
Patronato
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
21 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta21113726:1836
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10Almagro2184919:2328
11San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
12Colegiales2175919:2026
13Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)