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Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Cristo

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Deportivo Maritimo and Minerva finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Deportivo Maritimo
20%
Draws
46%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minerva come out ahead of Deportivo Maritimo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Maritimo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 68%
Minerva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo Minerva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
0:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
4:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Deportivo Maritimo
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Minerva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 68 / 100
Minerva 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maritimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maritimo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Minerva let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Deportivo Maritimo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS Minerva
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maritimo

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 CA Pulpileno 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
3 Alcantarilla 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 San Javier 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Molinense 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia B 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 UD Los Garres 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Bala Azul 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Minerva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 FC Cartagena SAD B 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
15 Cotillas CD 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Mazarron FC 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 CD Algar 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)