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Stadium Background

Deportivo Maritimo vs Molinense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Rubio I.
72'
Hernandez V.
88' Event
Benneoui M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Deportivo Maritimo
20%
Draws
36%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Maritimo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Molinense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 68%
Molinense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo Molinense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Molinense
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Deportivo Maritimo
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Deportivo Maritimo
3:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Molinense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Benneoui M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 41 / 100
Molinense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maritimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Molinense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Maritimo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Deportivo Maritimo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS Molinense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maritimo

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
Page 1 of 6

Molinense

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)