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Deportivo Maritimo vs UD Los Garres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

62' Event
Valverde D.
73'
Pires F.
73'
Pires F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Deportivo Maritimo and UD Los Garres finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Los Garres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Deportivo Maritimo
20%
Draws
50%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Los Garres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Deportivo Maritimo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo UD Los Garres
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.93 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs UD Los Garres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UD Los Garres Compare

Top Goalscorer Valverde D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 42 / 100
UD Los Garres 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Los Garres conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Deportivo Maritimo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Maritimo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS UD Los Garres
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maritimo

(Home)
10 Oct
Santomera
3 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
Page 1 of 6

UD Los Garres

(Away)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)