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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Estrella de Berisso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Deportivo Metalurgico and Estrella de Berisso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Metalurgico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Deportivo Metalurgico
30%
Draws
23%
Estrella de Berisso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella de Berisso haven't matched Deportivo Metalurgico's recent run of results.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 68%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Metalurgico Estrella de Berisso
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Estrella de Berisso
1:0
Jun 1, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Deportivo Metalurgico
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Estrella de Berisso
0:0
Mar 19, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Metalurgico 95 / 100
Estrella de Berisso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Metalurgico Estrella de Berisso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Metalurgico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Metalurgico's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Estrella de Berisso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Deportivo Metalurgico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Estrella de Berisso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Metalurgico VS Estrella de Berisso
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Home)
05 Oct
Social Atletico Television
3 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
29 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 1
Social Atletico Television
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
Page 1 of 7

Estrella de Berisso

(Away)
07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3
Social Atletico Television
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2
Estrella de Berisso
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3
Nautico Hacoaj
17 Aug
Defensores de Glew
4 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)