Sport Picks

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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Puerto Nuevo

Argentina Argentina

Primera C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Masdeu M.
78' Event
Ballester M.
84' Event
Mercuri L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Metalurgico in this Primera C 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Deportivo Metalurgico
28%
Draws
22%
Puerto Nuevo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Puerto Nuevo haven't matched Deportivo Metalurgico's recent run of results.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Metalurgico, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 20%
Puerto Nuevo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Metalurgico Puerto Nuevo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Metalurgico
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Puerto Nuevo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Metalurgico Compare

Top Goalscorer Masdeu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ballester M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Puerto Nuevo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Metalurgico 49 / 100
Puerto Nuevo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Metalurgico Puerto Nuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Metalurgico's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Metalurgico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Puerto Nuevo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Metalurgico VS Puerto Nuevo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Home)
26 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1
Deportivo Metalurgico
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Social Atletico Television
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
21 Jun
Deportivo Metalurgico
0 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 6

Puerto Nuevo

(Away)
23 Jul
Argentino de Rosario
0 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
17 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1
Fenix
12 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
05 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 2
Puerto Nuevo
28 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Deportivo Metalurgico2
Puerto Nuevo4