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Deportivo Mixco vs Alianza

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martinez N.
Assist: Urizar J.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez C. In: Chiari G.
Out: Rodriguez C.
46'
Sub
Vargas D. In: Carvajal D.
Out: Vargas D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Deportivo Mixco
30%
Draws
23%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • Deportivo Mixco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Deportivo Mixco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Mixco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 17%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Alianza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Deportivo Mixco vs Alianza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolanos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Alianza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 84 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Alianza let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Mixco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Alianza
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
1 : 1
Comunicaciones
31 Aug
Xelaju
4 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Alianza
23 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
4 : 2
Guastatoya
20 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
4 : 1
UMECIT
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Alianza

(Away)
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2
Alianza
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Alianza
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0
Tauro
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)