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Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Martinez N.
8' Event
Martinez N.
12'
Osorio J.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco host Antigua in the Liga Nacional 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Antigua have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Mixco have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Deportivo Mixco have won 3 to Antigua's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Antigua. Antigua in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo Mixco
39%
Draws
30%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo Mixco.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 12%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Antigua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
2:1
Feb 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Apr 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Antigua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 30 / 100
Antigua 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Antigua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Antigua let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Deportivo Mixco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Antigua lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Antigua
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219