Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Martinez N.
25' Event
Garcia L.
34'
Garcia L.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
49%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Guastatoya haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 68%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Guastatoya
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Avalos V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 41 / 100
Guastatoya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Mixco scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Guastatoya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo Mixco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Guastatoya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Guastatoya

(Away)
11 Oct
Malacateco
2 : 0
Guastatoya
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)