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Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco host Municipal in the Liga Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Municipal have shipped 0.53 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Mixco have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Deportivo Mixco have won 1 to Municipal's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Municipal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Mixco
35%
Draws
28%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco haven't matched Municipal's recent run of results.
  • Deportivo Mixco are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Municipal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 16%
Municipal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Municipal
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 21
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.53 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
May 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
5:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 48 / 100
Municipal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Deportivo Mixco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Municipal let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Municipal
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
15 Oct
Marquense
1 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
11 Oct
Suchitepequez
3 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 7

Municipal

(Away)
15 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Municipal
11 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1
Marquense
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 14 8 2 4 25:20 26
2 Guastatoya 14 8 2 4 20:16 26
3 Municipal 13 7 4 2 19:9 25
4 Deportivo San Pedro 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
5 Xelaju 14 6 3 5 27:17 21
6 Marquense 14 6 3 5 15:17 21
7 Deportivo Mixco 13 6 2 5 23:21 20
8 Aurora F.C. 14 6 0 8 21:23 18
9 Coban Imperial 14 4 4 6 18:21 16
10 Malacateco 14 4 3 7 15:21 15
11 Comunicaciones 14 4 2 8 17:23 14
12 Suchitepequez 14 1 5 8 15:30 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)