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Deportivo Mixco vs UMECIT

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Batista R. In: Diaz A.
Out: Batista R.
16' Event
Martinez N.
Assist: Pozuelos Y.
20' Event
Garcia L.
Assist: Pozuelos Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
53%
UMECIT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Deportivo Mixco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Mixco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 17%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco UMECIT
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Deportivo Mixco vs UMECIT
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 31 / 100
UMECIT 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco UMECIT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMECIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Deportivo Mixco's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: UMECIT conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Deportivo Mixco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS UMECIT
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
31 Aug
Xelaju
4 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

UMECIT

(Away)
22 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 0
Union Cocle
13 Sept
Herrera
1 : 3
UMECIT
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
01 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 1
Veraguas
23 Aug
Plaza Amador
3 : 0
UMECIT
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)