Sport Picks

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Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Rocha K.
15'
Cardona J.
36' Event
Martinez N.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco host Xelaju in the Liga Nacional 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Xelaju have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Mixco have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Deportivo Mixco slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward Xelaju. Xelaju in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportivo Mixco
28%
Draws
50%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Xelaju has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo Mixco.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Xelaju.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 15%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Xelaju
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
3:1
Feb 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
2:1
Apr 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Quezada Gamez H. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 23 / 100
Xelaju 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Xelaju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Xelaju let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Deportivo Mixco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Xelaju lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Xelaju
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219