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Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fagundez F.
20'
Kubiszyn S.
24' Event
Iniguez E.
Assist: Fagundez F.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportivo Moron
15%
Draws
34%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than Acassuso.
  • Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Moron have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron Acassuso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.55 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
0:3
Apr 2, 2017 Primera B
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
2:4
Sep 16, 2016 Primera B
Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso
2:0
May 30, 2016 Primera B
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iniguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Acassuso Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 51 / 100
Acassuso 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron Acassuso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Moron scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Acassuso conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Deportivo Moron remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS Acassuso
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Moron

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

Acassuso

(Away)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)