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Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Cabral Y.
Assist: Machado M.
46'
Sub
Lazza E. In: Esquivel J.
Out: Lazza E.
64'
Sub
Maldonado M. In: Ferrari M.
Out: Maldonado M.

AI Match Summary

CA Mitre in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Deportivo Moron
15%
Draws
59%
CA Mitre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than CA Mitre.
  • CA Mitre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 25%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron CA Mitre
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
0:2
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
3:0
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Mitre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Moron Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorla F. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 29 / 100
CA Mitre 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron CA Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Mitre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

CA Mitre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Moron has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS CA Mitre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Moron

(Home)
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

CA Mitre

(Away)
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)