Sport Picks
Deportivo Moron vs Ferro
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron 
Match Events
20'
20'
Pena Biafore L.
Own Goal
29'
29'
Levato M.
32'
32'
Levato M.
Assist: Fagundez F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Moron and Ferro finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Moron.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferro have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Deportivo Moron are scoring more at 1.62.
- Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Ferro
4:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Deportivo Moron
1:0
Sep 12, 2022 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Deportivo Moron
1:2
Aug 1, 2021 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Ferro
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Deportivo Moron
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Moron Compare
Top Goalscorer Levato M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Esquivel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ferro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Moron 51 / 100
Ferro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Moron Ferro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Moron found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Deportivo Moron went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Ferro conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Moron VS Ferro
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Moron
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Deportivo Moron
4 : 1 Acassuso
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
Ferro
(Away) 19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2 Ferro
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0 Ferro
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
