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Deportivo Municipal vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macara in this Serie B 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo Municipal
6%
Draws
90%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macara lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Municipal.
  • Model gives Macara a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deportivo Municipal Clean Sheet 18%
Macara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Municipal Macara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Macara
0:3
Jul 20, 2014 Serie B
Macara vs Deportivo Municipal
1:1
Jun 14, 2014 Serie B
Macara vs Deportivo Municipal
3:0
Mar 29, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Macara
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Municipal 10 / 100
Macara 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Municipal Macara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Municipal found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Macara has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Macara has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Macara
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aucas442411964:3383
2Guayaquil City4422121062:4578
3Tecnico U.442381370:4277
4LDU Portoviejo442291367:4875
5Macara4417111649:4162
6Deportivo Quevedo4416111752:6259
7Dep. Azogues4413171446:4756
8Delfin4415101943:4955
9Espoli4412151750:5650
10Imbabura4412122040:5848
11Univ. Cotopaxi441392257:7748
12Deportivo Municipal447112641:8332