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Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
De Benedetti N.
34' Event
Arrieta J.
39' Event
Malmoria I.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Muniz in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Muniz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportivo Muniz
20%
Draws
29%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Muniz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Porvenir lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Muniz.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Muniz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Deportivo Muniz Clean Sheet 19%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.76 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir
3:2
May 30, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muniz
2:1
Aug 5, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muniz
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muniz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Muniz Compare

Top Goalscorer Malmoria I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrais M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer De Benedetti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrieta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Muniz 40 / 100
El Porvenir 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Muniz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Porvenir has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Muniz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: El Porvenir registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Muniz VS El Porvenir
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Muniz

(Home)
06 Oct
CSD Central Ballester
1 : 2
Deportivo Muniz
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
Fenix
1 : 0
Deportivo Muniz
12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
07 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 2
Sportivo Barracas
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)