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Deportivo Nacional vs Caiquetio

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Nacional play Caiquetio in the Division di Honor. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Nacional averaged 3 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Caiquetio averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Nacional won 5, Caiquetio won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.44 for Deportivo Nacional and 1.56 for Caiquetio. This points to a Deportivo Nacional double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportivo Nacional
15%
Draws
34%
Caiquetio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional picked up more points recently compared to Caiquetio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 15%
Caiquetio Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional Caiquetio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 3 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 6.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Caiquetio
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Division di Honor
Caiquetio vs Deportivo Nacional
1:3
Feb 11, 2019 Division di Honor
Caiquetio vs Deportivo Nacional
1:3
Oct 29, 2018 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Caiquetio
2:1
Mar 3, 2018 Division di Honor
Caiquetio vs Deportivo Nacional
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 49 / 100
Caiquetio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional Caiquetio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Nacional or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Nacional attacking → ← attacking Caiquetio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Nacional scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Caiquetio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Deportivo Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Caiquetio lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 44
6.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50