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Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Nacional host La Fama in the Division di Honor. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. La Fama have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Nacional have conceded 1.76 and scored 3.07. Past meetings favor La Fama slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.94 - 1.13) back Deportivo Nacional to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportivo Nacional
20%
Draws
20%
La Fama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • La Fama haven't matched Deportivo Nacional's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Nacional's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors La Fama here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
La Fama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional La Fama
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 3.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Deportivo Nacional
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:2
Feb 7, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs La Fama
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 85 / 100
La Fama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional La Fama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Nacional's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

La Fama has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Deportivo Nacional remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS La Fama
4.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Nacional

(Home)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

La Fama

(Away)
17 Jun
La Fama
2 : 2
Britannia
11 Jun
La Fama
0 : 2
SV Dakota
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
16 May
La Fama
2 : 0
Racing Club Aruba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Fama 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bubali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Deportivo Nacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Britannia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Estrella 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Racing Club Aruba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 SV Dakota 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Caiquetio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 River Plate 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sporting 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division di Honor (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation)