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Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Nacional play Racing Club Aruba in the Division di Honor. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Nacional averaged 6.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Racing Club Aruba averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Nacional won 2, Racing Club Aruba won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Deportivo Nacional and 1.25 for Racing Club Aruba. This points to a Deportivo Nacional double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportivo Nacional
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Club Aruba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Racing Club Aruba.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Deportivo Nacional.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division di Honor provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 19%
Racing Club Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional Racing Club Aruba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 0 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 6.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 6.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Deportivo Nacional
6:0
Feb 18, 2025 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Deportivo Nacional
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Racing Club Aruba
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 85 / 100
Racing Club Aruba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional Racing Club Aruba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Nacional scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Racing Club Aruba let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Deportivo Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Racing Club Aruba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS Racing Club Aruba
6.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SV Dakota990045:1127
2Britannia961218:1219
3La Fama960331:1318
4Sporting951336:1316
5Racing Club Aruba950420:1215
6Bubali941427:1913
7Deportivo Nacional940518:1312
8River Plate922517:298
9Estrella911719:374
10Real Koyari90093:750