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Deportivo Nacional vs United FC

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor 2024/2025 game between Deportivo Nacional and United FC finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportivo Nacional
22%
Draws
18%
United FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Nacional's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Deportivo Nacional here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional United FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 17
Draws 0 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs United FC
8:0
Nov 21, 2022 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs United FC
4:2
Apr 10, 2022 Division di Honor
United FC vs Deportivo Nacional
1:12
Dec 5, 2021 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs United FC
7:4
Mar 23, 2020 Division di Honor
United FC vs Deportivo Nacional
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 58 / 100
United FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional United FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Nacional found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

United FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.60 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Nacional has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Club Aruba972032:1023
2Britannia972027:523
3SV Dakota962132:920
4La Fama951323:1016
5Deportivo Nacional941421:1113
6Estrella941420:1613
7River Plate941421:1813
8United FC911712:314
9Jong Aruba91178:384
10Unistars90094:520