Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Paraguayo vs CA Lugano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Benardoni M.
5' Event
Pellegrino F.
31'
Benardoni M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Paraguayo
35%
Draws
28%
CA Lugano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Paraguayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Lugano lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Paraguayo.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Paraguayo taking it.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 20%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Paraguayo CA Lugano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs CA Lugano
1:1
May 30, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs CA Lugano
1:2
Mar 27, 2024 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0:1
Sep 17, 2023 Primera D
CA Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Paraguayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CA Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Benardoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Paraguayo 42 / 100
CA Lugano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Paraguayo CA Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Deportivo Paraguayo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Paraguayo scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: CA Lugano conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Paraguayo VS CA Lugano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 3
Deportivo Paraguayo
12 Sept
Club Lujan
3 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

CA Lugano

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Lugano
2 : 3
Argentino de Rosario
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1
Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1
CA Lugano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)