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Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mendoza J. P.
16' Event
Cristeff M. A.
45' Event
Mendoza J. P.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Paraguayo in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Paraguayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Deportivo Paraguayo
30%
Draws
23%
Leandro N. Alem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Paraguayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Leandro N. Alem at 0.9 per game, Deportivo Paraguayo at 0.76.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Paraguayo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 68%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Paraguayo Leandro N. Alem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem
4:1
May 10, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
4:2
Sep 16, 2024 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem
2:2
Apr 14, 2024 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1:1
Apr 4, 2017 Primera D
Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Paraguayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza J. P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cardona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristeff M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Paraguayo 95 / 100
Leandro N. Alem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Paraguayo Leandro N. Alem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Paraguayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leandro N. Alem has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Paraguayo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Leandro N. Alem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Paraguayo VS Leandro N. Alem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 3
Deportivo Paraguayo
12 Sept
Club Lujan
3 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

Leandro N. Alem

(Away)
06 Oct
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 5
CSR Espanol
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2
Leandro N. Alem
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)