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Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo Logo

Deportivo Paraguayo

1 - 1
FT
Mercedes Logo

Mercedes

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Sanchez Olmos L.
79' Event
Ortiz R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportivo Paraguayo
35%
Draws
32%
Mercedes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Paraguayo haven't matched Mercedes's recent run of results.
  • Deportivo Paraguayo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 68%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Paraguayo Mercedes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.76 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Paraguayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mercedes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Olmos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Paraguayo 50 / 100
Mercedes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Paraguayo Mercedes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Paraguayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Paraguayo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deportivo Paraguayo found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Mercedes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Paraguayo VS Mercedes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 3
Deportivo Paraguayo
12 Sept
Club Lujan
3 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

Mercedes

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3
Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)