Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Arce I.
31' Event
Alonso A.
46'
Sub
Monje P. In: Barbieri M.
Out: Monje P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Deportivo Riestra and San Lorenzo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportivo Riestra
22%
Draws
18%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportivo Riestra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Riestra haven't matched San Lorenzo's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Riestra taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra San Lorenzo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
0:0
May 12, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 68 / 100
San Lorenzo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Riestra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Lorenzo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Riestra's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS San Lorenzo
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Riestra

(Home)
26 Jul
Deportivo Riestra
3 : 0
Boca Juniors
17 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Deportivo Riestra
26 May
Palestino
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
19 May
Montevideo City
4 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
05 May
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
17 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Deportivo Riestra
27 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Recoleta
20 May
Santos
2 : 2
San Lorenzo
10 May
River Plate
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)