Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Rincon vs Circulo Deportivo

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Valvuena C. In: Estigarribia C.
Out: Valvuena C.
55'
Sub
Rossi J. In: Frutos S.
Out: Rossi J.
66'
Sub
Banchio R. In: Rius C.
Out: Banchio R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Deportivo Rincon
20%
Draws
34%
Circulo Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Rincon lately — more wins on the board than Circulo Deportivo.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Rincon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Rincon Circulo Deportivo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Circulo Deportivo
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Deportivo Rincon
2:1
May 11, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Circulo Deportivo
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Deportivo Rincon
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Circulo Deportivo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Rincon 59 / 100
Circulo Deportivo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Rincon Circulo Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Deportivo Rincon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Circulo Deportivo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Rincon found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Rincon VS Circulo Deportivo
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Rincon

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0
Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 6

Circulo Deportivo

(Away)
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)