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Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Kimberley have shipped 0.7 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Rincon have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Deportivo Rincon slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.81, favoring Kimberley. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo Rincon
35%
Draws
25%
Kimberley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kimberley lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Rincon.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Rincon's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Kimberley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Rincon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Rincon Kimberley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
3:1
May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Deportivo Rincon
0:1
May 26, 2024 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Deportivo Rincon
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Rincon 42 / 100
Kimberley 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Rincon Kimberley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Rincon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Rincon's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kimberley let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Rincon VS Kimberley
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Rincon

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0
Juventud U.U.
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Kimberley

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
TBD -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras -
Juventud Antoniana -
TBD -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM -
San Martin Mendoza -
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
TBD -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
TBD -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -