Sport Picks
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces 
Match Events
41'
41'
Avila C.
45'
45'
Meza F.
62'
62'
Sub
Rueda H. In: Oyola A. I.
Out: Rueda H.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Deportivo Rincon and Santamarina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Rincon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Rincon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Rincon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Rincon's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Rincon | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina
3:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
Jun 30, 2024 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Deportivo Rincon
3:2
May 4, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Rincon Compare
Top Goalscorer Avila C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valvuena C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Santamarina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Rincon 86 / 100
Santamarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Rincon Santamarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santamarina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Deportivo Rincon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Santamarina registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Rincon VS Santamarina
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Rincon
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0 Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0 Juventud U.U.
12 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
02 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
2 : 0 Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 4
Santamarina
(Away) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1 Santamarina
02 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
