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Deportivo Tigres vs 1 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Simon Bolivar. Little to choose between these two on current form. Deportivo Tigres have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against 1 de Mayo's 1.46 scored and 1.71 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.21 vs 1.17, favoring 1 de Mayo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Deportivo Tigres
20%
Draws
42%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 1 de Mayo lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Tigres.
  • Model gives Deportivo Tigres a 38% chance of winning this.
  • 1 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Deportivo Tigres Clean Sheet 20%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Tigres 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 6 24
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 0
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Tigres 67 / 100
1 de Mayo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Tigres 1 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Tigres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Tigres scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

1 de Mayo let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Deportivo Tigres went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1 de Mayo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Tigres VS 1 de Mayo
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Tigres

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 1
San Juan FC
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
12 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 3
Deportivo Tigres
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
29 Aug
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 2

1 de Mayo

(Away)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz -
Mineros Potosi -
Independiente CBBA -
Central Union -
Tiquipaya -
San Martin de Yacuiba -
26 de Febrero -
Fatic -
Em Huanuni -
Atletico Sucre -
San Juan FC -
Chaco FC -
Virginia -
Wilstermann Cooperativas -
1 de Mayo -
Deportivo Tigres -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -