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Derby Academie vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie play Mali Coura in the Premiere Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derby Academie averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Mali Coura averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Derby Academie won 0, Mali Coura won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Derby Academie and 0.75 for Mali Coura. This points to a Derby Academie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Derby Academie
35%
Draws
25%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Derby Academie picked up more points recently compared to Mali Coura.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 27%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Mali Coura
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 4
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.73 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Mali Coura
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Derby Academie
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 41 / 100
Mali Coura 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Mali Coura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Derby Academie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +31.5%
5.26
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derby Academie attacking → ← attacking Mali Coura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Mali Coura let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Derby Academie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mali Coura lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 20
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316