Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby Academie vs AS Kayes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie host AS Kayes in the Premiere Division. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Derby Academie have averaged 0.81 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against AS Kayes's 0 scored and 0 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 0.75) point toward AS Kayes. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Derby Academie
25%
Draws
35%
AS Kayes
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Derby Academie have won more games recently than AS Kayes.
  • Model gives Derby Academie a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 20%
AS Kayes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie AS Kayes
Matches Played 27 1
Wins 6 0
Draws 14 1
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 0.81 0
Goals Conceded 0.89 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 36 / 100
AS Kayes 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie AS Kayes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Derby Academie stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Derby Academie scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

AS Kayes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 0% of 1 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS AS Kayes
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby Academie

(Home)
02 Nov
Korofina
2 : 3
Derby Academie
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
Page 1 of 6

AS Kayes

(Away)
31 Oct
AS Kayes
0 : 0
Bougouba

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Binga 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Derby Academie 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Bakaridjan 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Stade Malien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Djoliba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Onze Createurs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Bougouba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Diarra 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AS Kayes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CS Bamako 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Korofina 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Foot Elite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Real Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 USFAS Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)