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Derby Academie vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Derby Academie Logo

Derby Academie

2 - 0
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Derby Academie and Bougouba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Derby Academie
20%
Draws
51%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Derby Academie's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Bougouba
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 14 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Bougouba
2:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Derby Academie
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 50 / 100
Bougouba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby Academie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Derby Academie remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Bougouba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby Academie

(Home)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
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Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)