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Derby City Rovers vs Chicago Fire U23

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USL Premier Development League 2013
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2013 game between Derby City Rovers and Chicago Fire U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby City Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby City Rovers
15%
Draws
85%
Chicago Fire U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chicago Fire U23 come out ahead of Derby City Rovers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chicago Fire U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Derby City Rovers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 14%
Chicago Fire U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby City Rovers Chicago Fire U23
Matches Played 41 14
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 32 8
Goals Scored 0.95 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.98 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2013 USL League Two
Chicago Fire U23 vs Derby City Rovers
2:3
Jun 14, 2013 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Chicago Fire U23
1:3
Jun 1, 2013 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Chicago Fire U23
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
Chicago Fire U23 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby City Rovers Chicago Fire U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chicago Fire U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire U23 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Derby City Rovers found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (41 games).

Away concern: Chicago Fire U23 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby City Rovers VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby City Rovers

(Home)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
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Chicago Fire U23

(Away)
22 Jul
Chicago Fire U23
4 : 1
Chicago Inferno
17 Jul
Chicago Fire U23
4 : 2
Flint City
13 Jul
Forest City London
3 : 0
Chicago Fire U23
10 Jul
Toronto Lynx
2 : 1
Chicago Fire U23
27 Jun
Chicago Fire U23
1 : 0
Forest City London
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