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Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Derby City Rovers
6%
Draws
90%
TFC Academy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TFC Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Derby City Rovers average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of TFC Academy's 0.
  • Win probability leans TFC Academy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 14%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby City Rovers TFC Academy
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 29 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
1:1
Jun 6, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
1:1
May 27, 2016 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy
3:0
Jun 27, 2015 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
3:0
Jun 19, 2015 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
TFC Academy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby City Rovers TFC Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TFC Academy conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

TFC Academy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Derby City Rovers found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (40 games).

Scoring Trends

Derby City Rovers VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby City Rovers

(Home)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
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TFC Academy

(Away)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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