Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Clarke K.
Assist: Griffiths E.
68'
68'
Okonkwo D.
Assist: Borgesson B.
89'
89'
Taylor W.
Assist: Scanlon L.
AI Match Summary
Burnley U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnley U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Burnley U18 at 2.1 per game, Derby U18 at 1.79.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U18 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Burnley U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Burnley U18
1:4
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Burnley U18
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
May 7, 2022 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Burnley U18
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Derby U18
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Clarke K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Burnley U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Okonkwo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taylor W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 26 / 100
Burnley U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Burnley U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burnley U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Derby U18 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Burnley U18 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Derby U18 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Burnley U18
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
18 Apr
Derby U18
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd U18
Page 1 of 3
Burnley U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Burnley U18
0 : 1 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
02 May
Wolves U18
3 : 1 Burnley U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
