Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Balagizi B.
(Penalty)
82'
82'
Robinson R.
Assist: Tomak J.
AI Match Summary
Nottingham U18 in this Premier League U18 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Nottingham U18 have won more games recently than Derby U18.
- Win probability leans Nottingham U18's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Nottingham U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Derby U18
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Nottingham U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Robinson R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 10 / 100
Nottingham U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Nottingham U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Nottingham U18 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Derby U18 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Nottingham U18
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
18 Apr
Derby U18
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd U18
Page 1 of 3
Nottingham U18
(Away) 05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
02 May
Leeds U18
1 : 2 Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
02 May
Leeds U18
1 : 2 Nottingham U18
31 Mar
Burnley U18
3 : 5 Nottingham U18
28 Mar
Sunderland U18
1 : 1 Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Nottingham U18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Manchester United U18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Liverpool U18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Burnley U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Everton U18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Derby U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Leeds U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 10 | Blackburn U18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough U18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 12 | Stoke City U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Sunderland U18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 14 | Leicester U18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26:8 | 13 |
| 2 | Southampton U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Fulham U18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:12 | 11 |
| 4 | Chelsea U18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Ipswich U18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 8 |
| 7 | Arsenal U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 9 | West Brom U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Brighton U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 11 | Brentford U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 13 | Bournemouth U18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 15 | Birmingham U18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:19 | 3 |
| 16 | Reading U18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
