Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Thomas K.
Assist: Ford H.
5'
5'
Harvey R.
Assist: Corry S.
65'
65'
Green I.
AI Match Summary
Derby U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Wolves U18 haven't matched Derby U18's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Derby U18's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Derby U18 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 11%
Wolves U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Wolves U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Wolves U18
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Wolves U18
5:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
May 4, 2024 Premier League U18
Wolves U18 vs Derby U18
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Green I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Wolves U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 40 / 100
Wolves U18 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Wolves U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wolves U18 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Derby U18's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Wolves U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Wolves U18
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
18 Apr
Derby U18
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd U18
Page 1 of 3
Wolves U18
(Away) 29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4 Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
15 Aug
Wolves U18
0 : 2 Blackburn U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0 Wolves U18
02 May
Wolves U18
3 : 1 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0 Wolves U18
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
18 Apr
Everton U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
01 Apr
Blackburn U18
0 : 1 Wolves U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
