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Stadium Background

Derby U21 vs Hull City U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ashbee S.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Mintus M.
Assist: Richards J.
83' Event
Devine E. J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Derby U21
30%
Draws
29%
Hull City U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derby U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Hull City U21 have won more games recently than Derby U21.
  • Model gives Hull City U21 a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Hull City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hull City U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Hull City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U21 Hull City U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Derby U21 vs Hull City U21
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mintus M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hull City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Devine E. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U21 26 / 100
Hull City U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U21 Hull City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hull City U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hull City U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Derby U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Derby U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derby U21 VS Hull City U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4
West Brom U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

Hull City U21

(Away)
08 Sept
Hull City U21
1 : 1
Brentford U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
QPR U21
3 : 3
Hull City U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4
Hull City U21
28 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 0
Hull City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Exeter U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
2 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
3 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams