Sport Picks
Derby U21 vs Manchester City U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
Langas S. In: Osong J.
Out: Langas S.
43'
43'
Braithwaite K.
46'
46'
Sub
Wahling J. In: Hodges D.
Out: Wahling J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Derby U21 and Manchester City U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Manchester City U21 come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
- Model gives Manchester City U21 a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- History favors Derby U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U21 | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Manchester City U21
1:0
Aug 23, 2024 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Manchester City U21
2:3
Oct 28, 2023 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Manchester City U21
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U21 18 / 100
Manchester City U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U21 Manchester City U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchester City U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Derby U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Manchester City U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Derby U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Derby U21 VS Manchester City U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U21
(Home) 18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4 Hull City U21
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
Manchester City U21
(Away) 19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2 Manchester City U21
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1 Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Manchester City U21
4 : 0 Wolves U21
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2 Manchester City U21
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1 Manchester City U21
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4 Manchester City U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
