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Derby U21 vs Norwich U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Grange Park, Long Eaton
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby U21 host Norwich U21 in the Premier League 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Derby U21 at 1.59 goals for, 2.41 against; Norwich U21 at 1.75 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Norwich U21 slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.56) point toward Norwich U21. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Derby U21
15%
Draws
64%
Norwich U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norwich U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norwich U21 come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
  • Norwich U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Norwich U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U21 Norwich U21
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Norwich U21
0:3
Feb 13, 2023 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Norwich U21
0:3
Sep 30, 2022 Premier League 2
Norwich U21 vs Derby U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U21 18 / 100
Norwich U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U21 Norwich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norwich U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Norwich U21 conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Derby U21 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Derby U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U21 VS Norwich U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2
Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2
Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
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Norwich U21

(Away)
16 Oct
Norwich U21
4 : 2
West Ham U21
13 Oct
Aldershot
5 : 3
Norwich U21
09 Oct
Reading U21
2 : 3
Norwich U21
28 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 3
Norwich U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 5 4 0 1 15:9 12
2 Nottingham U21 5 4 0 1 10:9 12
3 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
4 Liverpool U21 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
6 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
7 Norwich U21 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
8 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
9 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
10 Everton U21 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Aston Villa U21 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
12 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
13 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
14 Reading U21 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
15 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
16 West Ham U21 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
17 Stoke City U21 5 1 1 3 8:7 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 5 1 0 4 8:10 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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