Sport Picks
Derby U21 vs West Brom U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 Grange Park, Long Eaton 
Match Events
13'
13'
Deeming C.
40'
40'
Tola M.
43'
43'
Bray J.
Assist: Deeming C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Brom U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- West Brom U21 have won more games recently than Derby U21.
- West Brom U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
West Brom U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U21 | West Brom U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs West Brom U21
4:4
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League 2
West Brom U21 vs Derby U21
4:2
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs West Brom U21
4:1
Feb 12, 2024 Premier League 2
West Brom U21 vs Derby U21
0:1
Apr 3, 2023 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs West Brom U21
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Davidson J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Agbawodikeizu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
West Brom U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bray J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bostock O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U21 18 / 100
West Brom U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U21 West Brom U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West Brom U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.
Derby U21 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
West Brom U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Derby U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U21 VS West Brom U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U21
(Home) 13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4 Hull City U21
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
West Brom U21
(Away) 13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Ipswich U21
2 : 2 West Brom U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3 Nottingham U21
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 West Brom U21
04 Sept
Coventry U21
0 : 3 West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Ipswich U21
2 : 2 West Brom U21
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 West Brom U21
04 Sept
Coventry U21
0 : 3 West Brom U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 | 10 |
| 4 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League (Play Offs)
